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Figure 8 Investment Strategies

July 2026

In this issue:

A Concerned Investor’s Guide to Capitalist Connections in the Age of ICE

Hello Friends —

Like so many others, we at Figure 8 have watched in horror as U.S. immigration enforcement has ratcheted up, often in violation of habeas corpus and without a presumption of innocence.

With ICE agents infiltrating communities and people being warehoused, detained, and sometimes disappeared all without due process, immigration enforcement has gone far beyond what we’d imagined could happen in this country. The recent Supreme Court rulings limiting the rights of asylum seekers and obliterating TPS offends our sensibilities; the expanded ICE funding that Congress authorized in June leaves us shaking our heads. Who are we and what has this country become??

And what is the role of business? We at Figure 8 have long contended that there should be no profit motive in detaining and imprisoning people. We’ve long fought the very existence of the two publicly-traded private prison companies, Geo Group and CoreCivic. Figure 8 was part of successful efforts to stem detention-related bank financing a decade ago — dealing a severe but not quite fatal blow to the private prison operators. Instead, those companies persisted — and today are thriving as the federal government expands the immigration enforcement complex with unprecedented speed. Now, companies across the economy are joining them to participate in — and profit from — the fast-moving world of immigrant detention and deportation.

What are concerned investors to do? The first thing is simply to KNOW: which companies are benefiting from immigration enforcement, what’s in motion, who is accountable, where there are points of leverage to stop it, how can we resist? This newsletter is a start to that conversation.

Perhaps most powerfully, investors can recognize and assert that today’s extreme definition of immigration enforcement is simply bad for business. We write more about this below.

We can confidently assert that Figure 8 doesn’t knowingly buy stock in any of the companies listed in the sections that follow. But there may very well be exposures we’ve yet to learn about and opportunities for voice and resistance that we’ve yet to tap. We hold ourselves accountable, too. These times demand it.

With determination and hope,

Lisa & The Figure 8 Team

 

These are publicly-traded companies we’ve identified as currently participating in — and profiting from — immigration detention and deportation:

Direct Exposure: Private Detention Stocks

There are two publicly traded companies whose entire business model is the detention of human beings for profit: GEO Group (GEO) and CoreCivic (CXW). Nearly 90% of people in ICE custody are held in facilities run by private companies like these two. Both companies have been involved in the construction and operation of the large warehouse-style detention centers being proposed or converted across the country. Both stocks are held in index funds and ETFs tracking the S&P Mid Cap 400, the Russell 2000, and the MSCI US REIT Index.

The Next Layer: Surveillance & Technology

Behind the detention system sits an infrastructure of companies involved with surveillance, data extraction, and tracking. Palantir (PLTR) is perhaps the most notable, having contracted with ICE to build "ImmigrationOS," a surveillance platform designed specifically for tracking immigrants. Cellebrite (CLBT) contracts with ICE to help agents unlock phones and extract a complete image of all data — apps, location history, photos, call records, text messages. Axon (AXON) — the company behind Tasers and police body cameras — holds a $25.6 million contract with DHS to support ICE's Office of Firearms and Tactical Programs. All three of these companies issue publicly-traded stocks; Palantir is now a member of the S&P 500 — which means it’s a holding in any mutual fund or ETF tracking that core market index.

In the Background: Data Brokers

Data brokers are companies whose business is aggregating and selling personal information — including phone records, financial transactions, license plate sightings , family associations — compiled from thousands of sources. There are two publicly-traded data brokers that have significant current ICE contracts to provide information related to immigrant surveillance. One is Thomson Reuters (TRI), which is also the parent company of both Westlaw and Reuters news service. The other is RELX Group (RELX), a British company listed on the NYSE that owns LexisNexis.

Financing Expansion: Banking

Before the current administration’s expanded federal funding, CoreCivic and GEO Group relied heavily on commercial banks for their financing. In 2019, following sustained pressure from investors and advocates, many of those banks — JPMorgan Chase, BNP Paribas, PNC, and others — pledged to cease providing financing to the private prison and detention industry. Back then, it made a difference.

In today’s very different landscape, there is one bank — Citizens Bank (CFG) — that’s emerged as the most visible remaining lender, and also as the target of a very active and growing boycott campaign. Over more than a decade, Citizens has arranged and helped provide roughly $2 billion in financing for GEO Group and CoreCivic and continues to facilitate financing today, providing additional liquidity to support the expansion of the private prison and detention system.

A Next Frontier: Warehousing People

The federal government is now purchasing warehouses across the country to convert into immigration detention centers. In early 2026, DHS spent close to $1 billion acquiring more than 6.8 million square feet of warehouse space across seven states. Now, ICE's "Detention Reengineering Initiative" plans to increase detention capacity to nearly 93,000 beds by November 2026. Like any commercial real estate transaction, the federal government’s purchase of warehouses requires sellers and brokers. Those parties include well-known names in commercial real estate: Goldman Sachs (GS) and Carlyle Group (CG) have sold warehouses (owned by their asset management divisions) to ICE, while on the brokerage side, CBRE (CBRE) — the world's largest commercial real estate services company — helped broker multiple ICE/DHS warehouse deals, including those in Surprise, Arizona and El Paso, Texas.

Immigration Enforcement Under Trump 2.0: Bad for Business

The list above shows ways of tapping the capital system to enable and expand unjust immigration enforcement. But there are also ways concerned investors can use their capital and their voice to resist. Investors can divest their dollars from companies involved with DHS and ICE. Investors can advocate for changes in corporate policies, as well as with index providers and asset managers — and they can vote their proxies to support shareholder resolutions, select board members, and demand accountability.

Perhaps most powerfully, investors can recognize and assert that today’s extreme definition of immigration enforcement is simply bad for business. It diminishes the labor force and robs our economy of talent, heightens operational and reputational risk for any company connected to the detention and deportation system, and damages local economic activity across targeted communities.

In May, Wharton professor Exequiel Hernandez published a study “ICE-ing the Economy: Immigration Enforcement Under Trump 2.0 and Local Economic Activity” documenting the damaging economic impact ICE raids have had on local economic activity in cities across the country. The study, arguably the first to offer systematic, national-level estimates of the consequences of the Trump 2.0 immigration enforcement regime, looked at the economic impact of 5,388 geocoded ICE raids on a broad range of local economies. The study found reduced foot traffic and lower levels of spending across diverse communities and businesses, with the breadth of local economic damage mirroring the breadth of the enforcement approach. The study’s conclusion:

“The pattern of quantitative results shows that, in its first year, the new regime produced significant and persistent negative economic spillovers for virtually all residents and types of businesses in targeted areas. These findings raise important issues for policy makers and for scholarship on immigration enforcement.”

Indeed.

 

Some Things We’re Reading & Watching

  • Singer-songwriter Margo Price teamed up with Joan Baez and the band Memphis Mariachi to record this haunting modern-day video version of Woody Guthrie’s Deportee, to be featured on her upcoming album “Days of Unrest”.

  • Rachel Cohen is a Chicago-based Harvard-educated attorney, community organizer, advocate for immigrants and the people of Gaza, and leader of a renewed war tax resistance movement. Read more about her here and here.

  • Last summer, Morningstar published a piece examining the major private prison and detention stocks (CoreCivic and GeoGroup) and highlighting where those holdings often appear in client portfolios. We’ve shared this before; it’s perhaps more relevant now than ever. You can access it here.

 
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You should always consult a financial, tax, or legal professional familiar with your unique circumstances before making any financial decisions. This material is intended for educational purposes only. Nothing in this material constitutes a solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities.

Figure 8 Investment Strategies

1410 W. Washington St., Boise, United States

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